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Online Classes :- Current Affairs Part-3

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Alliances for 2019: Cart ahead of horse

Will the 2019 general elections be among alliances? The National Democratic Alliance, led by BJP and minus a Telugu Desam Party and plus a Jagan Reddy-led YSR Congress or an All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) faction or even Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) is, of course, the foremost alliance.

Congress, having indicated, at its recent plenary session, readiness to forge a broad alliance against BJP, and given the dinner diplomacy its leaders have been engaging in, would be at the helm of another alliance. Vague outlines of a third, so-called federal front of parties that operate in different states and so have no antagonism against one another are also visible, with Trinamool Congress as the leading light.

Then there is the most decisive partnership of all, that between Samajwadi Party (SP) and Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) in Uttar Pradesh. While these are all possible political tie-ups, what the actual line-up would be is anyone’s guess.

Given Narendra Modi’s penchant for charging ahead rather than taking a step back for later advance as the preferred battle strategy, it is tempting to speculate that his goal in 2019 would be to aim for a larger BJP tally than in 2014, and if that calls for leveraging BJP’s ruling party status in 22 states to make solitary forays in some states where allies held the upper hand in 2014, he would. The Federal Front makes sense only after the elections are over and the votes have been counted.

If BJP gets a majority or a near-majority, some regional parties would prefer to ally with it, than oppose it. If BJP falls short of a majority, alignments would depend on who has the numbers to lead an alternative alliance. The only tie-ups that make sense at this point of time are the ones like SP-BSP that prevent fragmenting of votes in the same state.

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